U.S. Productivity Slows in Fourth Quarter as Unit Labor Costs Rise
U.S. worker productivity grew at a slower pace in the final three months of last year. Unit labor costs jumped at the fastest rate in more than a year.
U.S. productivity rose at a 1.9 percent annual rate in the fourth quarter, the Labor Department reported Thursday. That was down from a 3.2 percent pace in the third quarter.
The slowdown came as output grew more slowly while hours worked picked up. Businesses produced 3.7 percent more goods and services in the quarter, but hours worked rose 1.8 percent.
Unit labor costs, which show how much businesses pay workers for each unit of output, jumped 4.2 percent in the fourth quarter. That was the biggest increase since the third quarter of 2023 and up sharply from a revised 0.9 percent rise in the third quarter.
For the full year, productivity climbed 2.2 percent in 2024 after a 2.6 percent gain in 2023. That marked the second straight year of solid productivity growth above the long-term average of about 1.5 percent a year.
Labor costs for the year rose 2.1 percent after a 1.0 percent increase in 2023. The combination of slower productivity growth and faster wage gains pushed those costs higher in the final quarter.
Economists watch these figures closely because sustained productivity growth allows wages to rise without feeding inflation. When productivity slows, higher labor costs can put pressure on companies to raise prices.
The fourth-quarter numbers reflect data after revisions to earlier quarters. The government also updated its methods for measuring productivity and costs.
Fed officials have said strong productivity gains in recent years have helped keep inflation in check even as the job market stayed tight. The latest slowdown could complicate that picture if it continues.
Go Deeper
What exactly is productivity in these reports?
Productivity measures how much output, or goods and services, each hour of work produces. The government tracks it by dividing total output by total hours worked across the economy.
Why did productivity slow in the fourth quarter?
Output grew at a slower pace while the number of hours people worked increased. That combination pulled the productivity growth rate down from the third quarter.
What are unit labor costs and why do they matter?
Unit labor costs show the labor expense per unit of output. When they rise quickly, it can signal higher costs for businesses that may eventually lead to higher prices for consumers.
How does this compare to recent years?
Productivity grew 2.2 percent for all of 2024, which is solid but below the 2.6 percent gain in 2023. Unit labor costs rose faster in the fourth quarter than they had earlier in the year.
How might this affect Federal Reserve decisions?
Strong productivity has helped the Fed keep inflation low while the job market stayed healthy. A slowdown could make it harder to balance wage growth and price stability going forward.
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