Should you pay tax now or later? Convert Traditional IRA money to Roth at today's bracket vs. tomorrow's unknown one.
Assumes a single flat tax rate at conversion and at withdrawal. Real conversions can trigger: (1) IRMAA surcharges for 2 years, (2) Social Security benefits becoming up to 85% taxable, (3) bracket creep if the conversion pushes you into a higher bracket, (4) loss of ACA premium subsidies. The optimal strategy is multi-year — fill up your current bracket each year — not one large conversion. Talk to a CPA before converting more than ~$50K.