Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady as Inflation Rises to 3.7 Percent
The Federal Reserve kept its key interest rate in a range of 3.75 to 4 percent at its meeting on Wednesday, October 28. Inflation rose to 3.7 percent in September, and many forecasters now expect one more rate increase in December.
The Federal Reserve kept its key interest rate steady this week, leaving it in a range of 3.75 to 4 percent. The decision came at the central bank's meeting on Wednesday, October 28, and was widely expected by financial markets. The Fed, led by Chair Kevin Warsh, had raised rates in September in an effort to cool stubborn inflation.
NPR reported that two Fed officials disagreed with the decision. Governor Lisa Cook and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack both wanted to raise rates by a quarter point. In its statement, the Fed's policy committee said inflation remains elevated. Consumer prices rose 3.7 percent in September compared with a year earlier, up from 3.4 percent in August. NPR also reported that policymakers are widely expected to raise the benchmark rate at their December meeting in an effort to tamp down demand and bring prices under control.
The investment firm Vanguard said it expects one more rate increase in December, followed by a long pause through 2027. Vanguard traces much of today's inflation to tariffs, oil prices near 100 dollars a barrel, and heavy spending on artificial intelligence. The firm projects that core inflation will ease toward 2.5 percent by late spring of 2027, moving closer to the Fed's 2 percent goal.
For older Americans, the news cuts both ways. Higher interest rates mean savers can still earn solid returns on certificates of deposit, money market funds, and high yield savings accounts. On the other hand, borrowing costs for car loans, credit cards, and home equity lines remain high. Retirees on fixed incomes also tend to feel inflation more sharply, since energy, food, and health care take up a large share of their budgets.
The Fed's next meeting in December will be closely watched. Fresh inflation reports between now and then will help decide whether rates rise again or stay where they are. For households planning next year's budget, the safest assumption is that borrowing will stay expensive for a while longer, and that savings accounts will keep paying meaningful interest in the months ahead.
Go Deeper
What did the Federal Reserve decide this week?
At its meeting on Wednesday, October 28, the Fed kept its benchmark interest rate in a range of 3.75 to 4 percent. Two officials, Governor Lisa Cook and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, wanted a quarter point increase instead.
How high is inflation right now?
Consumer prices rose 3.7 percent in September compared with a year earlier, up from 3.4 percent in August. In its statement, the Fed's policy committee said inflation remains elevated.
Could rates go up again soon?
Possibly. NPR reported that policymakers are widely expected to raise the benchmark rate at the December meeting, and the investment firm Vanguard expects one more increase in December followed by a long pause through 2027.
What does Vanguard say is driving inflation?
Vanguard points to tariffs, oil prices near 100 dollars a barrel, and heavy spending on artificial intelligence. The firm projects core inflation will ease toward 2.5 percent by late spring of 2027.
What does this mean for retirees and savers?
Higher rates mean savings accounts, CDs, and money market funds continue to pay solid returns. But borrowing stays expensive, and inflation hits fixed incomes hardest in areas like energy, groceries, and health care.
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